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Thoughts from the Road: Asia

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I recently traveled to Southeast Asia with my colleagues Peter Sundheim, from New York, and Richard Bullock, who is based in Singapore and helps to lead our macro effort in the region. During our visit we spent time speaking with macro folks, business executives, deal teams, and clients. The punch line is that Asia has already entered a capital market ‘sweet spot’ at a time when many investors are underweight the region. The oft quoted quip from Mark Twain certainly came to my mind as I experienced firsthand what felt like renewed vitality in the region: “The report of my death was an exaggeration.”

EXHIBIT 1: Asian Markets Have Been Outpacing the U.S. in 2025

2025 YTD MSCI Total Return, %, USD

Bar chart showing 2025 YTD MSCI total returns with Korea at 59%, China 38%, Japan 22%, and U.S. 14%.
Data as at September 16, 2025. Source: Bloomberg, MSCI.

EXHIBIT 2: When the USD Weakens, Asia Outperforms

Asia vs. DM Relative Performance and the U.S. Dollar

Line chart showing that when the U.S. dollar weakens, Asia outperforms developed markets from 1994 through 2027.
Data as at September 17, 2025. Source: Bloomberg.

CNBC TV Interview: Henry H. McVey on Opportunities in Asia

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